How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

Markets

Above 0

92%

Above 1

82%

Above 2

73%

Rules

If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 0 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026.

Outcome verified from National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

Additional prohibitions

Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Legal

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