U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026?
Economics

U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026?

FY2026
Markets
Below 5%
9%
Rules

If the U.S. federal budget deficit as a percentage of GDP for fiscal year 2026, as reported in the U.S. Treasury / Office of Management and Budget Joint Statement on Budget Results for Fiscal Year 2026, is below 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome verified from Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation and Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index.

Additional prohibitions
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