Who will advance in the Los Angeles mayoral election?
Elections

Who will advance in the Los Angeles mayoral election?

Jun 2, 2026
Markets
Nithya Raman
99%
Spencer Pratt
2%
Rules

If Nithya Raman is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.

If a candidate wins the first round outright with a majority, and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. A candidate is "announced to qualify" when the official election authority of Los Angeles certifies or announces qualification, OR when the Associated Press or at least two other Source Agencies report that Nithya Raman has qualified for the runoff, whichever occurs first. Official certification is not required for resolution. This is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified. If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.

Outcome verified from official election authority responsible for certifying results in .

Additional prohibitions
  • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
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