Politics
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
In 2026
Markets
Before Jan 1, 2027
99%
Before Jul 3, 2026
95%
Before Jun 12, 2026
90%
Before Jun 10, 2026
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Rules
If a reconciliation bill passes the House before January 01, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Such bills typically begin with the phrase: “To provide for reconciliation pursuant to…"
Outcome verified from Library of Congress.
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