Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in June
Economics

Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in June

Jun 16, 2026 meeting
Markets
Maintain current rate
95%
Hike 1-25bps
9%
Hike more than 25bps
8%
Cut 1-25bps
5%
Cut more than 25bps
3%
Rules

If the Reserve Bank of Australia takes the action of Maintain current rate at June Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).

Outcome verified from central bank, in hierarchical order, Semafor, MarketWatch, BBC, Associated Press, The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg News, The Information, CBS, NBC, Federal Reserve Economic Data, Axios, Bloomberg Terminal, CNN, Fox News, Reuters, Politico, MSNBC, The Washington Post, ABC, Financial Times and The New York Times.

Additional prohibitions
  • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
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