Economics
Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?
In 2026
Markets
0 cuts
92%
2 cuts
9%
3 cuts
8%
1 cuts
8%
4 cuts
4%
Rules
If the Fed cuts the target federal funds rate exactly 0 times at emergency meetings in 2026, the market resolves to Yes.
To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).
Outcome verified from Federal Reserve.
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