Economics
How many government employees will Trump cut?
In 2026
Markets
More than 100,000
43%
More than 150,000
24%
More than 200,000
19%
Rules
If there are more than 100000 federal employees no longer working relative to the December 2025 employee count before January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
At the time of issuance, 2.738 Million Federal Employees are reported for the December 2025 figure.
Outcome verified from FRED.
Additional prohibitions
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Legal
By trading on this market, you agree to the Trading prohibitions, Member agreement, and DFlow terms of service.