Will the Switzerland 10 million population cap referendum pass?
Elections

Will the Switzerland 10 million population cap referendum pass?

In 2026
Markets
In 2026
26%
Rules

If the "No to a Ten-Million Switzerland" initiative, which aims to cap Switzerland's permanent resident population at 10 million by 2050, passes, then the market resolves to Yes.

A referendum "passes" when it meets ALL of the following conditions: receives the minimum percentage of "Yes" or "For" votes required by the applicable constitution, law, or electoral rules (whether simple majority, supermajority, or other threshold), meets any minimum voter turnout requirements if applicable, and is certified as passed by the official electoral authority.

Outcome verified from The Wall Street Journal, CBS News, CNN International, official electoral commission or equivalent authority of geography, the Associated Press, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, Axios, in hierarchical order, Fox News, BBC News, Politico, MSNBC, NBC News, ABC News, official government website of geography and Bloomberg News.

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