Politics
Will SCOTUS bar counting mail ballots after Election Day?
Before 2026
Markets
Before August 2026
69%
Rules
If the Supreme Court, in Watson v. Republican National Committee, rules before Aug 1, 2026 that the federal election-day statutes preempt a state law that allows ballots cast by federal Election Day to be received (and counted) after Election Day, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome verified from Supreme Court.
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