Science and Technology
AI capability growth before July?
Before July 2026
Markets
At least 1525 score
16%
At least 1575 score
6%
At least 1600 score
4%
Rules
If an AI model has a score of at least 1525 before Jul 1, 2026 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome verified from LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control).
Additional prohibitions
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Legal
By trading on this market, you agree to the Trading prohibitions, Member agreement, and DFlow terms of service.