When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
Science and Technology

When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?

In 2025
Markets
Before 2035
58%
Before 2030
38%
Before 2029
33%
Before 2028
13%
Before 2027
3%
Rules

If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.

The Clay Mathematics Institute must officially announce that a Millennium Prize has been awarded for the complete solution of the specified problem. The solution must be a positive proof as originally stated, not a counterexample or disproof (unless the market specifically includes counterexamples). Announcements of submitted solutions, peer-reviewed publications without CMI verification, or partial solutions do not qualify. If a mathematician solves a problem but declines the monetary prize, the market still resolves to Yes if CMI officially announces the prize award. The Poincaré Conjecture has already been solved by Grigori Perelman.

Outcome verified from Science, the Clay Mathematics Institute, The Information, the Fields Institute, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, the American Mathematical Society, the International Mathematical Union, NBC, the Institute for Advanced Study, The Washington Post, Axios, The New York Times, CNN, Fox News, Semafor, Politico, MSNBC, Bloomberg News, the Associated Press, CBS, Reuters and Nature.

Additional prohibitions
  • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
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