Climate and Weather
Major volcano eruption in 2026?
In 2026
Markets
At least 1
98%
At least 2
13%
At least 3
1%
Rules
If the number of VEI4 volcanic eruptions worldwide with a GVP-attributed start in 2026 is at least 1, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome verified from the U.
Additional prohibitions
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Legal
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