
Economics
U.S. nonfarm productivity YoY above 3% in any 2026 quarter?
2026
Markets
Above 3%
53%
Rules
If U.S. nonfarm business sector labor productivity year-over-year growth is above 3% in any quarter of 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Only the first non-preliminary release for each quarter will be considered. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
Outcome verified from Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation and Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index.
Additional prohibitions
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
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