Elections
Brazil presidential election: first round winner?
Brazilian presidential election
Markets
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
71%
Flávio Bolsonaro
24%
Fernando Haddad
8%
Rules
If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva wins the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome verified from or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections, in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission and constitutional court.
Additional prohibitions
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- Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event
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