Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026

Markets

Above 1.00%

44%

Rules

If the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above 1.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Please note that intraday changes will not be reflected in the Underlying, as FRED only posts a single value per day.

Outcome verified from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

Additional prohibitions

Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Legal

By trading on this market, you agree to the Trading prohibitions, Member agreement, and DFlow terms of service.