Financials
Who will be the next CEO of X?
2026
Markets
Elon Musk
18%
Nikita Bier
10%
Sriram Krishnan
6%
Rules
If Elon Musk is confirmed as CEO for X before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Important information: An acting or interim CEO role, including from Elon Musk, would not satisfy the payout criterion. It must be a full-time CEO position.
Outcome verified from The Washington Post, ESPN, NBC, TechCrunch, The Information, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Wired, Semafor, the Associated Press, The Athletic, company/organization, CNN, Fox News, Reuters, Axios, The New York Times, Politico, ABC, CBS and Bloomberg News.
Additional prohibitions
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