Politics
Will Republicans hold a midterm convention?
Before Nov 3, 2026
Markets
Before Nov 3, 2026
96%
Rules
If a pre-midterm GOP convention happens by Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome verified from Fox News, MSNBC, The Guardian, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, ABC, The Information, CBS, Variety, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, the Associated Press, Politico and The New York Times.
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