NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?

If New York City experiences a population increase of between 0.01% to 0.99% between July 1, 2025 and July 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Population change is calculated as ((July 2027 Population - July 2025 Population) / July 2025 Population) × 100, rounded to one decimal place. The market resolves based on official census counts or estimates from the relevant national statistical office or census bureau for the specified geography. If the geography is split into multiple entities during the time period, the combined population of all successor entities will be used. Preliminary counts or estimates are valid if final data is not available by expiration. If data is unavailable by the latest expiration date, all strikes resolve to No. For temporal markets, the market checks cumulative population change from the start of the time period to each potential resolution date.

Outcome verified from the United Nations Population Division, the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development, the World Bank, The Wall Street Journal, BBC News, The Washington Post, relevant national statistical office or census bureau for geography, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Reuters and Bloomberg News.