Science and Technology
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Mythos
Markets
Before Jan 1, 2027
90%
Before Dec 1, 2026
87%
Before Oct 1, 2026
87%
Rules
If Anthropic releases A model called Mythos before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
Outcome verified from OpenAI.
Additional prohibitions
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Legal
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