How many screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

Markets

Above 0

49%

Above 1

23%

Above 3

15%

Rules

If the total number of New World screwworm infestation cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 0, then the market resolves to Yes.

Cases are determined at 10:00 AM ET on the Expiration Date (January 8). Cases that actually occur between the end of the specified time period and Expiration do not count, but newly reported cases during this window do count if they are backdated to 2026. See the full rules for how Source Agencies are prioritized.

Outcome verified from national health agencies, CDC, national health statistics reporting bodies and World Health Organization.

Additional prohibitions

Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Legal

By trading on this market, you agree to the Trading prohibitions, Member agreement, and DFlow terms of service.