Climate and Weather

Arctic sea ice maximum extent this winter?

2025-2026 Winter
Markets
Above 14.1 million sq km
99%
Above 14.0 million sq km
98%
Above 14.2 million sq km
98%
Rules

If the National Snow & Ice Data Center records a day between December 18, 2025 and April 01, 2026 where the extent of arctic sea ice(area of ocean with at least 15% ice) is Above 14.1 million square kilometers, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome verified from National Snow & Ice Data Center.

Additional prohibitions
  • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
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Arctic sea ice maximum extent this winter? | Climate and Weather Prediction Markets | Solflare