
Economics
Fed decision in Apr 2026?
On Apr 29, 2026
Markets
Fed maintains rate
99%
Cut >25bps
1%
Hike 25bps
1%
Hike >25bps
1%
Cut 25bps
1%
Rules
If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on April 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
Outcome verified from Federal Reserve.
Additional prohibitions
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Legal
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