Economics
How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?
Before 2027
Markets
At least 50 billion
10%
At least 250 billion
8%
At least 750 billion
7%
Rules
If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $50 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Each quarter from Q1 2025 to Q4 2026 is compared against Q4 2024.
Outcome verified from FRED.
Additional prohibitions
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