Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?

Markets

In 2026

12%

Rules

If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

For example, this market will resolve to Yes if the Federal Reserve cuts rates by 50 basis points during one day, non-scheduled meetings are included. The Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January and 25 basis points in March would not be sufficient to resolve this market.

Outcome verified from Federal Reserve.

Additional prohibitions

Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
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