Economics

More tech layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?

In 2026
Markets
Yes
84%
Rules

If there are more than 447,000 layoffs in the information sector in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Important information: This market was listed using an incorrect underlying value for tech layoffs in 2025. The correct floor strike is 447,000 layoffs, not 494,000 as currently specified. If the final layoff count falls between those two numbers, we will pay out $1.00 to all traders with an open position as of March 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. The rulebook variable has been updated accordingly. Trades executed after this time are not eligible for reimbursement.

Outcome verified from FRED.

Additional prohibitions
  • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Legal

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More tech layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025? | Economics Prediction Markets | Solflare