Economics
How much will core PCE increase in Mar 2026?
In Mar 2026
Markets
Above 0.0%
97%
Above 0.1%
88%
Above 0.2%
55%
Above 0.3%
14%
Above 0.4%
10%
Rules
If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.0% in March 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market will close at 8:25 AM ET on the expected release of the data. It will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of the data, or one week after the expected release of the data.
Outcome verified from Bureau of Economic Analysis.
Additional prohibitions
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Legal
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