Economics

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

In 2026

Markets

Exactly 1 cut

24%

Exactly 2 cuts

23%

Exactly 0 cuts

21%

Rules

If the Fed cuts 1 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).

Outcome verified from Federal Reserve.

Additional prohibitions

Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

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