Economics
How high will unemployment get in 2026?
Before 2027
Markets
Above 5%
37%
Above 6%
17%
Above 7%
11%
Rules
If the U-3 unemployment rate from 2026 is above 5%, the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome verified from Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Additional prohibitions
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
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