Economics
How high will unemployment get before 2030?
Before 2030
Markets
Above 5%
94%
Above 6%
87%
Above 7%
72%
Rules
If the U-3 unemployment rate from June 2025 to January 2030 is above 5%, the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome verified from Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Additional prohibitions
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Legal
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