Economics
How much will US debt increase in 2025?
Before 2026
Markets
More than 130% of GDP
5%
More than 140% of GDP
2%
More than 150% of GDP
1%
Rules
If the U.S. debt to GDP ratio is more than 130% before Q1 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome verified from U.S. Treasury Department.
Additional prohibitions
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