Elections
Who will win the next Taiwanese presidential election?
In 2028
Markets
William Lai
64%
Hou Yu-ih
14%
Terry Gou
12%
Rules
If the winner of the next Taiwanese presidential election in 2028 is William Lai, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome verified from or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections, in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission and constitutional court.
Additional prohibitions
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