Financials
Where will the 10 year US Treasury yield close this quarter?
On Jun 30, 2026
Markets
4.601% or above
48%
4.501% to 4.6%
22%
4.401% to 4.5%
19%
Rules
If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury notes is above 4.601 % on Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jun 30, 2026, or one week following Jun 30, 2026.
Outcome verified from U.S. Department of the Treasury.
Additional prohibitions
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Legal
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