Politics

Which party will win the U.S. Senate?

In 2026
Markets
Republican Party
55%
Democratic Party
47%
Rules

If the Republican party has won control of the U.S. Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Victory will be determined by the party identification of the President pro tempore of the Senate on February 1, 2027.

Outcome verified from Library of Congress.

Additional prohibitions
  • Candidates for federal or statewide public office.
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  • Paid employees of Democratic and Republican Party organizations.
  • Paid employees of Political Action Committees (PACs) and “Super PACs” (independent expenditure only political committees).
  • Paid employees of major polling organizations.
  • Existing members of Congress, including those not running for re-election.
  • Existing paid staffers of members of Congress.
  • Household members and immediate family members (siblings, children, and parents) of any of the above.
  • Any of the above listed institutions themselves.
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  • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
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Which party will win the U.S. Senate? | Politics Prediction Markets | Solflare