Will Trump's birthright citizenship order come into effect?
If Trump's Executive Order ending birthright citizenship comes into effect for any period after Issuance and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
"Into effect" means that there are no federal courts prohibiting the order from going into effect. If the Executive Order is withdrawn, then the market immediately resolves to No. If the Supreme Court rules that the order is not constitutional, then the market immediately resolves to No (and the reverse if they rule that the order is constitutional).
Outcome verified from ABC, Axios, CBS, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, Politico, Reuters, Semafor, the Associated Press, The Information, The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal and The Washington Post.
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