
Politics
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?
For the 2028 election
Markets
Gavin Newsom
88%
Pete Buttigieg
84%
Josh Shapiro
84%
Rules
If Gavin Newsom announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome verified from ABC, Axios, CBS, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, Politico, Reuters, Semafor, the Associated Press, The Information, The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal and The Washington Post.
Additional prohibitions
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