Who will be arrested before 2027?
If Mahmoud Khalil is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Clarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual "surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney" the payout criterion is satisfied. To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.
Outcome verified from CNBC, CNN, Fox News, law enforcement agency with jurisdiction over the location where the arrest occurred, MSNBC, Politico, Reuters, Semafor, the Associated Press, The Information, The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal and The Washington Post.
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