Politics

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Transit calls
Markets
Before Jul 1, 2027
88%
Before Apr 1, 2027
83%
Before Jan 1, 2027
72%
Rules

If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before July 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome verified from the Statistical Review of World Energy.

Additional prohibitions
  • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
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When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? | Politics Prediction Markets | Solflare