Politics

Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?

Before Jan 1, 2027
Markets
Gustavo Petro
95%
Viktor Orbán
73%
Miguel Díaz-Canel
61%
Rules

If Gustavo Petro has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Colombia or has actually left President of Colombia before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

An "official announcement" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes. "Leaving office" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.

Outcome verified from ABC, Axios, Bloomberg News, CBS, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, NBC, office or organization where holds , official government websites relevant to , Politico, Reuters, Semafor, the Associated Press, The Information, The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal and The Washington Post.

Additional prohibitions
  • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
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Which world leaders will leave office in 2026? | Politics Prediction Markets | Solflare