Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?

If the United States recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

For purposes of this Contract, the United States recognizes Reza Pahlavi when the government of the United States takes official action acknowledging Reza Pahlavi specifically as the rightful or legitimate leader of Iran. Recognition must be explicit regarding Reza Pahlavi as an individual, not merely recognition of Iran as a state or recognition of whatever government happens to be in power.

Outcome verified from ABC, Axios, BBC, Bloomberg News, CBS, CNN, foreign ministry of country_1, Fox News, government and foreign ministry of country_2, government of country_1, head of government of country_1, head of state of country_1, MSNBC, NBC, Politico, Reuters, Semafor, the Associated Press, The Information, The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal and The Washington Post.