Politics
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
Before 2026
Markets
Before 2027
15%
Before August
7%
Before July
4%
Before June
3%
Before May
1%
Rules
If at least one million Americans have received payments of at least $1,000 directly attributable to tariff revenue is reported by any of the Source Agencies before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome verified from ABC, ABC News Australia, Axios, BBC, Bloomberg News, CBC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, NBC, Politico, Reuters, Semafor, South China Morning Post, the Associated Press, The Guardian, The Information, The New York Times, The Verge, The Wall Street Journal and The Washington Post.
Additional prohibitions
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Legal
By trading on this market, you agree to the Trading prohibitions, Member agreement, and DFlow terms of service.