Politics

Texas Senate winner?

In 2026
Markets
Republican party
62%
James Talarico
39%
Rules

If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Texas for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome verified from United States Congress.

Additional prohibitions
  • Holders of federal and statewide public office.
  • Paid campaign staffers on Senate campaigns.
  • Anyone working in a vote-tallying capacity, or who has the potential ability to observe official vote counts before they are public.
  • Third-party vendors and contractors (and employees thereof) of Senatorial campaigns.
  • Paid employees of Democratic and Republican Party organizations, such as the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee or the Republican National Committee.
  • Paid employees of Political Action Committees (PACs) and “Super PACs” (independent expenditure only political committees).
  • Paid employees of major polling organizations.
  • Employees of Decision Desks at major media organizations.
  • Any foreign national. This is defined as an individual who is: (1) not a citizen of the United States and (2) not lawfully admitted for permanent residence (as defined in 8 U.S.C. § 1101(a)(20)); or a foreign principal, as defined in 22 U.S.C. § 611(b). Section 611(b) defines a foreign principal to include a foreign government or political party; or a partnership, association, corporation, organization, or other combination of persons organized under the laws of a foreign country or whose principal place of business is in a foreign country.
  • All staff of the U.S. House of Representatives and its members.
  • All staff of the U.S. Senate and its members.
  • All staff of the Office of the President of the United States.
  • All staff of the Office of the Vice President of the United States.
  • All staff of the U.S. Supreme Court and its Justices.
  • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
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Texas Senate winner? | Politics Prediction Markets | Solflare