
Science and Technology
AI capability growth before July?
Before July 2026
Markets
At least 1500 score
99%
At least 1525 score
87%
At least 1550 score
67%
Rules
If an AI model has a score of at least 1500 before Jul 1, 2026 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome verified from LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control).
Legal
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