
Science and Technology
Best AI in Mar 2026?
On Mar 31, 2026
Markets
Claude
66%
Gemini
16%
ChatGPT
15%
Rules
If Anthropic has the top-ranked LLM on Mar 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
Outcome verified from LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control).
Additional prohibitions
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Legal
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