Science and Technology
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
Before 2031
Markets
United States
60%
China
30%
Russia
3%
India
2%
European Space Agency
2%
Rules
If United States is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.
If Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SpaceX) or another US-based company launches a manned mission to the Moon first then the market resolves to Yes for the United States.
Outcome verified from The New York Times.
Additional prohibitions
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Legal
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